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The numbers reported in this article are shocking. The number of migrants encountered in fiscal year 2022 is higher than the total population of New Mexico or any one of 14 other less populated US states. And that doesn't count anyone who entered our country legally. Think about that.

 

US Customs and Border Protection encountered 227,000 migrants at the southern border last month in what was the highest number of encounters during the month of September in Department of Homeland Security history. There were 192,001 migrant encounters in September 2021; 57,674 in September 2020; and 52,546 in September 2019.

 

There were 203,598 encounters in August 2022.

 

The September data revealed the fiscal year 2022 ended with 2,378,944 migrant encounters, the highest ever recorded. This figure does not include the 599,000 known "gotaways" that CBP sources say evaded capture in fiscal year 2022.

 

CBP's numbers also show there were 20 known or suspected terrorists arrested at the southern border in September, bringing the total terror watchlist arrests at the border for the fiscal year 2022 to 98. In comparison, the number of terror watchlist arrests at the border for the last five years combined was 26.

 

https://www.foxnews.com/us/southern-border-migrant-encounters-surpass-record-227k-september

https://worldpopulationreview.com/states

Edited by RTV
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36 minutes ago, RTV said:

Those polling results didn't age well, but hopefully current polls are correct.


I had been saying 12-15 point win for DeSantis. I’ll stick with that for now, but I don’t think 15-20 is out of the question. 
 

Let me just throw this out there: 

 

Current vote by mail: Democrat ballots returned lead by 42/38 over Republican ballots with well over a million votes cast. Independent ballots account for the remaining 20%. Remember, we don’t know who they voted for. DeSantis is likely either leading the raw vote, or very close. 
 

Here are the numbers from the Florida primary 2 months ago. 
 

Vote by mail: 58/42 D/R

In person early vote: 44/56 D/R

Election Day: 37/63 D/R 

Overall turnout: 47/53 D/R - Republicans didn’t have a statewide race on the ballot, yet still had a massive turnout advantage. 
 

IPEV begins Monday in some counties, and the following Monday in others. Those numbers will be instructive, as well. 
 

The debate between DeSantis and Crist is on Monday. 

Edited by TeamAudra
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2 hours ago, TeamAudra said:

The debate between DeSantis and Crist is on Monday.

"Local leaders here [in Fort Pierce] are preparing for what will be the biggest political event at the historic Sunrise Theatre since Hillary Clinton's campaign stop in 2016."

 

I'm sure DeSantis will do well even though he's been incredibly busy with hurricane recovery and probably hasn't had much time to prepare for a debate.

 

I don't doubt DeSantis will win on election night. I'm much less confident about other races around the country, though. There's a lot at stake.

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5 hours ago, RTV said:

"Local leaders here [in Fort Pierce] are preparing for what will be the biggest political event at the historic Sunrise Theatre since Hillary Clinton's campaign stop in 2016."

 

I'm sure DeSantis will do well even though he's been incredibly busy with hurricane recovery and probably hasn't had much time to prepare for a debate.

 

I don't doubt DeSantis will win on election night. I'm much less confident about other races around the country, though. There's a lot at stake.


The debate will be the first time DeSantis has even acknowledged Charlie Crist. He has totally ignored him to this point. 

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This is an article about DeSantis’ strong support from Hispanics.
 

Several Democrat strategists/consultants quoted here. Sounds like they’ve given up hope. I do believe DeSantis will win Miami-Dade County. 
 

—-
 

MIAMI — Florida Democrats are fretting over Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis’ popularity among Latinos, saying they are boosting his chances of becoming the first Republican governor in 20 years to win traditionally blue Miami-Dade County and therefore propelling his chances of a successful presidential run in 2024….

 

….DeSantis is an “outlier” among Republican governors, said Fernand Amandi, a Democratic consultant and pollster in Miami. 

 

“DeSantis overperforms here in a way that you don’t tend to see Republican candidates perform elsewhere with Hispanics,” he said….”

 

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna53427

 

 

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Although this news isn't about American politics, what happens in China does affect the US. I've included background information and a 33-minute video that further explores the incident.

 

Former Chinese President Hu Jintao (79) was supreme leader of China before President Xi Jinping. Hu had been sitting on Xi's left in the front row before two men unexpectedly escorted him out of the meeting hall on Saturday, a little more than two hours into the 3.5-hour meeting. He appeared confused and hesitant to leave the stage. The young man who held Hu's arm is reportedly Xi's personal bodyguard. As Hu was led from the closing ceremony of the 20th Chinese Communist Party Congress, he said something to Xi. Hu also touched Premier Li Keqiang, who was seated on the right of Xi in central Beijing's Great Hall of the People and is essentially China's second in command. No explanation for Hu's removal was given to the more than 2,300 delegates to the party congress. Later, the official state media tweeted that Hu had a health issue, was helped out, and was feeling better after resting 30 minutes in another room.

 

Most media, including all foreign journalists, were not allowed into the first part of the meeting when the voting took place. Analysts were watching events for signs of any weakening or challenge to Xi's position, but none was apparent.

 

Xi has been the paramount leader of China since 2012 and evidently wants to eliminate all rival factions within the party to solidify his power. An expected third five-year term as party leader would break an unofficial two-term limit that was instituted to prevent the excesses of Mao Zedong's one-person rule.

 

On Saturday, Xi effectively removed the nation's number two official from senior leadership. Premier Li Keqiang will not be reappointed in a leadership shuffle Sunday. He was a protegee of Hu Jintao and rose through party ranks to become a strong candidate for President of the People's Republic of China—until overtaken by Xi. The premier had already been largely sidelined as Xi has taken control of most aspects of government. If he had stayed on the Standing Committee, it would have indicated some possible pushback within the leadership against Xi, particularly on economic policy.

 

The names of Li Keqiang and three others were missing from the Communist Party's new Central Committee roster that was approved Saturday at the closing session of a weeklong national congress that set the leadership and agenda for the next five years. The Central Committee is comprised of the top party officials in China. Eleven women were among the 205 members named. Only Central Committee members can serve on the powerful seven-member Politburo Standing Committee, whose members will be announced Sunday.

 

The congress also approved the addition of new wording to the party charter. The resolution said: "The congress calls on all party members to acquire a deep understanding of the decisive significance of establishing comrade Xi Jinping's core position on the party Central Committee and in the party as a whole and establishing the guiding role of Xi Jinping Thought." "Xi Jinping Thought" refers to his ideology.

 

Among other amendments, the congress formally approved the addition of language to the party charter opposing the independence of the island of Taiwan. "Resolutely oppose and contain Taiwan independence," the updated charter reads. At the start of the meeting last week, Xi gave a speech in which he said China would take control of the island. "We will continue to strive for peaceful reunification with the greatest sincerity and the utmost effort. But we will never promise to renounce the use of force and we reserve the option of taking all measures necessary. This is directed solely at interference by outside forces and a few separatists seeking Taiwan independence," Xi said—emphasizing that resolving the Taiwan question is a matter for the Chinese to resolve.

 

 

 

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MN02 is now, “Leans GOP” :w00tbounce:

 

As I’ve said before, if this seat doesn’t flip, absent some sort of scandal, there cannot be a “red wave.” Kistner should win by at least 5-10 points. It remains to be seen whether it will shake out that way. 

 

 

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45 minutes ago, TeamAudra said:

MN02 is now, “Leans GOP” :w00tbounce:

 

As I’ve said before, if this seat doesn’t flip, absent some sort of scandal, there cannot be a “red wave.” Kistner should win by at least 5-10 points. It remains to be seen whether it will shake out that way. 

 

 

Actual voter turnout is key. Republicans shouldn't become complacent or overly confident about a red wave happening. They need to vote.

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20 minutes ago, RTV said:

Actual voter turnout is key. Republicans shouldn't become complacent or overly confident about a red wave happening. They need to vote.


That goes without saying, but aside from a few of the Senate races, and my own state/congressional races, I’m not too concerned about it. 

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