RedFury

People of color underachieving on this show is a pattern. Unfortunately, a lot of the audience of this show will see any black woman as screaming, and are turned off by gay men too. In hindsight, I don’t think this is shocking. Seems to happen almost every season

This was a really hard one to predict. I was way off this time. I do still think Carter wins though.

I felt pretty good about the order of my top 5 before the show, but I’m only confident that Carter wins and Ian is going to finish 5th. The middle three spots are a mess. If I had to pick, I’d probably go Carter, DesZ, Jim, John, and Ian in that order. I think John Holiday had the best performance of the season, but he just didn’t do enough these last two weeks

Jim murdered it. I thought his ceiling was 4th before that, but between that and him and being on Team Blake, I’m opening up his range from anything from 2nd place to 4th place. Carter appears still a safe bet to win

He’s not going to. There’s buzz there could be legal action coming against the show. Apparently there’s a dispute as to whether Ryan actually broke the rules or not.

That’s not going to be the song that moves the needle for DesZ. The other one will be. She’s still very much in a battle for that 2nd/3rd line I think.

He’s so far ahead generally that I think that’s going to be enough for him to win. Plus, I think his single is going to be very competitive.

After running some numbers and analyzing the songs for tonight, I’m fairly confident this will be the final placing, barring something unexpected happening. I also got the top 5 correct in the exact order last season. 1. Carter Rubin. Realistically, everyone else is racing for second. He appeals to a lot of the big voting blocks, and it is believed he has been first in the voting every week. Only once has it likely even been close. I don’t see anything happening tonight to change that. 2. John Holiday. The race for second is believed to be close, but it appears that after the first week, he has trended slightly ahead of DesZ. However, I can feasibly see 2 and 3 flipping tonight based on song choices. 3. DesZ. The numbers seem to support a third place finish. She won’t finish worse than 3rd, and I think there is a chance she moves up to 2nd. In particular, her rendition of “Landslide” tonight will likely be popular. 4. Jim Ranger. It is believed that Jim has trended ahead of Ian in multiple recent weeks (and, obviously, finished directly ahead of Ian last week). I don’t see anything in the works that would allow Ian to catch Jim. 5. Ian Flanigan. This is his likely finish. I just don’t see him changing many minds based on the song selection, and his seat was blistering hot last week.

Underwhelming from all 5, but voted both Ian and Cami. Ben and Bailey especially just need gone already

Numbers don’t support that. Only one that isn’t really within reach is Bailey Rae. Should be a tight battle

Based on numbers, here’s my seeding for the instant save (not necessarily who I want to win): 1. Ian 2. Tamara 3. Cami 4. Ben 5. Bailey Rae

This is going to be a close wild card. DesZ, John H. and Carter should be easy picks. Last two spots are going to be where the battle is

Not even close. He threw that low note in there just to show off. John Holiday is so much better than everyone else this season that it’s a little crazy. He can do so many technical things that the others just can’t do. But, of course, the Minivan vote that knows nothing about music will have a say too.

If John Holiday crushes it, it’s over. It’s there for him to seize. No one killed it tonight ... at all.

Post-production was a big deal this season. This has been one of the weaker seasons of lives that I’ve seen. A couple people stood out a little bit, but disappointing generally.

DesZ losing some steam to me. Don’t get me wrong — she’s still good, but that was probably her weakest performance as for Julia not advancing — called that based on song choice. Sorry, but most of the minivan vote is going to be turned off by a song about someone singing about how they wish someone was gay. Shouldn’t be that way — but that’s reality. You’ve got to understand who votes!

front runners: John Holiday DesZ the pack who is still in contention to move up: (no particular order, and I think they are all very close): Sid Kingsley Jim Ian Cami Carter Madeline Ryan G Chloe Payge Joseph Soul Bailey Rae Just don’t have it to me: WTW, Ben Allen, Tamara Jade, Tanner, Taryn, Larriah, Julia I don’t see how anyone can say John Holiday is anything but #1 at this point. He can do a lot of technical things that no one else in this field can touch, and his tone is just spot on. He’s a pro - literally

I wasn’t sold on him at first, but this season is done. Overwith. He’s going to win, and people will talk about this performance years from now when they talk about the all-time best performances on this show

Want: Todd think it will be: Thunderstorm Todd and Thunderstorm should be a good battle. Toneisha is a dark horse. I don’t think Micah or CammWess is a serious threat for Gold.

I’ve been saying it for three weeks and got called crazy. I’m glad some other people are starting to pick up on it. I caught a couple of things that made me see her in a completely different light. I liked her at the start. Now I don’t.

The battle in the end is going to be Todd v. Thunderstorm. Micah and CammWess just aren’t there. Toneisha lost to Todd twice so it’s hard to imagine that will drastically change. I think she can get 3rd though.

America 100% got it right this week

It’s basically Allegra v. Toneisha in my book. Allegra set the bar decently high. Megan Danielle already out of the running but she did well.

Megan did well and got a good song, but Allegra and Toneisha are both just better. I think this is a two horse race

Fun fact: one of Todd’s kids, Eagan, was on the reality show “Making it” https://makerviews.com/blog/makingit/eagan-tilghman-nbc-making-it-s2-contestant-interview/