muse273 Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 (edited) Tapdancing On the Tightrope 4/11 OK, we’re doing quick and dirty ranking of how well people did tonight and how likely they are to get through to tomorrow. Once we have our Top 12 tomorrow I’ll evaluate their ranking with both performances taken into account. 1. Chayce Beckham, “Waiting In Vain” by Bob Marley & The Wailers I'm amused that Chayce's past as a reggae-singer has resurfaced, but reworked into an alt-country song. Chayce is beginning to feel increasingly inevitable to me. It's a sign of the overall strength of the season that the rock/alt-country WGWG with an affecting backstory, distinctive voice, and ability to emote hasn't already been declared the inevitable winner by everyone EXCEPT me, leading me to roll my eyes about jumping to conclusions and snark at the crowd. It's weird that this year I'm the one kinda wondering if he's already won. But if he does get sent home at some point, it's not going to be after a pimp-spot song-flip. See you next week Chayce. 2. Willie Spence, “Set Fire To The Rain” by Adele This was actually my favorite performance from Willie. It felt more dynamic and passionate than he has previously, including a fakeout with avoiding going full-belt at first, and reserving his power for a more gradual build. The end got a bit out of control, but kudos to him for getting through the bizarrely awkward key change in the arrangement without a disaster. Sailing through to the next round. 3. Casey Bishop, “Black Hole Sun” by Soundgarden Casey is a Haley fan correct? Because there were a lot of elements from Haley’s Postmodern Jukebox performance of this song which popped up in Casey’s rendition, even if the arrangement wasn’t similar. That being said, this was actually my favorite performance of the night, and my favorite Casey performance. This is the most control she’s had over her voice and especially her upper range, but she continues to throw herself into the song even when she’s not on the verge of going off the rails. There was maybe a hint of reservation in the performance, but it was solid. I’d be extremely shocked if she didn’t get the votes for Top 10. 4. Grace Kinstler, “Elastic Heart” by Sia Grace seems to have taken Joss’ advice from last week to heart, as she held back for the early part of the song before unleashing in the end. It wasn’t as much of a knockout blow as what she delivered at the end of her duet though. The arrangement, again, felt awkward. It didn’t slow the song to a full ballad, but cut out the driving beat which keeps it going, so it felt like an awkward mid-tempo. I think in this case pulling back for a full ballad would’ve worked better. Still, there is virtually no chance of her missing the vote. 5. Cassandra Coleman, “Wicked Game” by Chris Isaak This performance had pros and cons, and I could see it being very divisive. Personally, I thought the opening section, which was more intimate, was magical. However, when she tries for more power, she loses some of the interest in her voice, and starts to verge on strained. However, my husband thought it didn’t get interesting until that point. The whole thing continues to feel distinctive and identifiably her, which helps with voting. It’s memorable. However, as the competition continues to narrow, I wonder if she’ll have trouble attracting a wider base. I think she’s most likely in the Top 12, probably by vote but by WC if not. However, if Ava makes it by vote, Cassandra doesn’t, and the judges have some hard choices of who to put through, I could see a scenario where she doesn’t get through. 6. Beane, “Searching For A Feeling” by Thirdstory After a scare with his mediocre solo last week, Beane delivered much more strongly this week. This was probably the first time we’ve seen him give what felt like a sincerely emotional performance, without quite as much superficial glitz. Given that Beane seems like one of the contestants most likely to attract a rabid “my Idol and NO OTHER” fanbase, that emotional connection has additional weight, and I think he probably had a good chance of attracting broader support. I do wonder somewhat if choosing the only truly obscure song on a night of pretty well known material might have been a hindrance. I think he most likely goes through on votes, and is probably the #1 most likely guy to get a WC, but if push came to shove I could see a couple of the women potentially taking the spot from him. 7. Alyssa Wray, “Killing Me Softly” by Roberta Flack I’m glad this song finally, after 19 years, made it onto the show, it was one of the strangest omissions of a classic tune. I’m not sure it did Alyssa any favors though. Roberta Flack’s version is very smooth and controlled, and the Fugees version runs heavily on the groove of the arrangement. This felt too manipulated, it weighed the song down, and because the opening is exposed the exaggerated tone felt more jarring. She would’ve been better off to either commit to the restraint, or go full uptempo. I think she’s potentially on the bubble voting wise, and this could be an issue for her momentum. However, as a previously strong contestant and the only Black woman left in the competition, she’s the #1 guarantee of a WC among those who might need it. 8. Caleb Kennedy, “Midnight Train to Memphis” by Chris Stapleton Caleb was passable this week, and still has a sufficient grasp on the Country base that he is a strong contender for Top 10. This felt a bit monotonous though, and a bit inauthentic, which may have a negative impact in the future. I’m not sure why these teenagers keep singing Chris Stapleton songs about being a landscape of bad decisions when they haven’t even had a bad prom date yet? If he needed a WC he might not get one, but I doubt he’ll need one at this point. 9. Ava August, “2002” by Anne-Marie It is… uncomfortable that Ava is singing about 2002, when she wouldn’t be born for 3-4 years at that point. I don’t think this was as good as either of her performances last week, which puts Ava in a tentative position. The song lacks any real emotional weight or notable melody, which made it feel like filler, and while Ava has a distinctive tone, she’s not necessarily experienced enough to make a bland song interesting by sheer power of her artistry. Last week’s momentum may be enough to carry her through to the Top 10 by votes, but this does slow down some of its impact. Like Cassandra, if she needed a WC I could see her getting it, but if the other was already in the Top 10 and there were limited spots, Ava could fall short. 10. Hunter Metts, “Skinny Love” by Bon Iver This was better than Hunter’s performance last week. It felt less timid and constrained, and he had the resources necessary to deliver the song unlike last time. Of the overabundance of WGWGs (6/9), he feels most likely to attract some free-floating votes aside from Chayce. I think he most likely takes the last Top 10 spot by votes, but if he misses I don’t really see him getting a WC. He feels disposable in the way some other people don’t. 11. Alanis Sophia, “The Story” by Brandi Carlile It’s possible I’m overly pessimistic about Alanis’ chances of advancing. I just feel like she’s going to struggle to connect to the Idol audience. Both her solo last week and this week were big belty numbers that are beyond what she can quite manage comfortably. Some of the big notes worked, some were rough, but comparison to Brandi, one of the biggest powerhouse singers working right now, isn’t necessarily favorable. I also feel like there’s an emotional disconnect continuing in her performance. I think she’s a very likely Wild Card if she misses the vote, but it feels like she’s going to need it. 12. Wyatt Pike, “Use Somebody” by Kings of Leon This felt a bit toothless. The very first line felt like it was going to hold onto the raw and energetic tone of the Kings of Leon original, but then Wyatt kind of closed in on himself and it got limited in scope. The performance felt awkwardly jittery at times, and the vocal was undistinguished. In a pack full of WGWGs, I’m not sure Wyatt did enough to stand out, and while he’s been solid thus far, he hasn’t been outstanding enough at any one time enough to guarantee a solid backing. Not completely out of the running for Top 10, but I don’t see him getting a WC. 13. DeShawn Goncalves, “Feeling Good” by Nina Simone It’s basically another round of the same thing with DeShawn. Capable vocals, delivered without any musicality or charisma. At least this time he actually landed the notes he was trying to hit, but he never delivers anything which feels notable outside the individual note, it doesn’t hang together into something cohesive. He has very little chance of making the Top 10, but I could see him as a default WC if all the necessary people get in. 14. Graham DeFranco, “That’s Life” by Frank Sinatra I honestly barely registered anything from this performance. Well, I liked the arrangement reasonably well, it would be nice as a mid-set breather on a jazz club set. But everything was completely impactless. Graham has mostly bored me up to this point, but he had a few nice vocal moments last week. Nothing this week was notable. Won’t get votes, and has 0 chance of getting a Wild Card. 15. Colin Jamieson, “Everybody Wants To Rule The World” by Tears For Fears The breathiness is starting to verge on self-parody, and he remains pure cheeze-wiz on stage. Last week at least had some energy, this felt completely lightweight. I don’t know why people keep doing this song on Idol, it’s a terrible fit for the format unless you’re going to do the uber-dramatic Lorde arrangement. 0 chance of a Wild Card, and I think very little chance of the votes. 16. Madison Watkins, “Gravity” by Sara Bareilles” Madison feels like she barely snuck into the Top 16, and I don’t think this was what she needed to make up the lost ground. Mostly she’s been a solid technical vocalist, even if last week got somewhat desperate, but she was very shaky this time. The tears read more as struggle than emotional connection to me, and I don’t think she really did enough to motivate votes from tentative supporters or draw new ones in. Predictions: Top 10 Chayce Willie Grace Casey Cassandra Caleb Beane Hunter Ava Alyssa Wild Cards Alanis DeShawn Eliminated Wyatt Graham Colin Madison Edited April 12, 2021 by muse273 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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