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Drew

The American Politics Thread!

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CNN town halls tonight and Wednesday. The next presidential debate is tomorrow night in South Carolina, ahead of the primary there on Saturday. 

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So many people said in 2016 after the fact, well Bernie or Biden would have beat Trump. We're about to find out. I honestly don't know who I'm voting for in the NC Primary.  I don't have a deep connection to any of these candidates like I did with Hillary in 2016 and then Kamala this cycle.  I like Amy a lot but she has no chance. Bernie and Biden are so old. Bernie has a rabid cult following like Trump so to me that sounds like he could be the biggest threat to Trump. I like Warren and Pete but neither have a chance. Bloomberg just eww.  I just don't love any of these people like I did Hillary and Obama who are the 2 who really got me into politics.

 

Tonight's debate should be fought in a mud pit. It should be interesting.

Edited by Jonathan
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I voted today in NC. I voted for Joe Biden. His close connection with Obama is why. I don't have a personal connection with anyone this year like I did Hillary and Obama, so I went with Biden. And I think he still could beat Trump. I just hope Kamala is his VP.

Edited by Jonathan

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5 hours ago, Jonathan said:

I voted today in NC. I voted for Joe Biden. His close connection with Obama is why. I don't have a personal connection with anyone this year like I did Hillary and Obama, so I went with Biden. And I think he still could beat Trump. I just hope Kamala is his VP.

I voted yesterday in Ca, did the same, had to narrow it down to someone I think can Beat Trump without screwing up Medicare, and hoping he picks a woman VP

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Feels like Joe is gaining a little footing now. Bernie as a frontrunner doesn’t wear well with the overwhelming majority of the party. He has about 30%  in his corner, and has feasted on 2 caucus states and very friendly New Hampshire. Whether his low ceiling becomes the deciding factor might depend on how long others stay in the race. If it was straight up Biden vs. Bernie, I think Biden would win easily. 
 

538 gives both Sanders and “No One” a 43% of winning more than half of the pledged delegates. Biden is at 11%. Nobody else is above 2%. Pass the popcorn. 
 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/

Edited by TeamAudra

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6 hours ago, TeamAudra said:

Feels like Joe is gaining a little footing now. Bernie as a frontrunner doesn’t wear well with the overwhelming majority of the party. He has about 30%  in his corner, and has feasted on 2 caucus states and very friendly New Hampshire. Whether his low ceiling becomes the deciding factor might depend on how long others stay in the race. If it was straight up Biden vs. Bernie, I think Biden would win easily. 
 

538 gives both Sanders and “No One” a 43% of winning more than half of the pledged delegates. Biden is at 11%. Nobody else is above 2%. Pass the popcorn. 
 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/


Overnight, “No One” has taken the lead. 
 

No One: 47%
Sanders: 39%
Biden: 12%

 

All others are at 2% or less. 
 

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Too many of them have already said they'll stay until the convention. 

 

Not sure whether actual Dems should just consolidate around Biden, or if Pete should stay in too. 

 

Pete can't get the majority. He's slacking in minority support. However, I think too much is being said about Pete stealing Biden's white voters. I'm not sure he is. The fact that he was so close to Sanders in NH, and beat Sanders in Iowa, suggests Pete is taking some of Sanders voters too. Pete staying in may keep Bernie from reaching the threshold. 

 

I've gone back and forth between Joe and Pete. I've been loving the way Pete is going after Bernie. Took someone five years. (No, I don't like the way Bloomberg is doing it - it's petty.) But Joe hinting strongly that Harris will be his VP pick could win me over. 

 

Although, in actual voting, I'll go with whoever has the best shot at beating Bernie. 

Edited by mercfan3

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