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1 hour ago, TeamAudra said:


There’s a reason his campaign immediately tried to walk it back. Make no mistake, this was an enormous gaffe. But, I’m not going to try to explain why to people on the far left, who clearly don’t get it. 

Its always the far left, socialist labels for ya'll isn't it? It's losing effctiveness when you guys call everyone to the left of Reagan the same thing😉

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34 minutes ago, sneaky said:

Its always the far left, socialist labels for ya'll isn't it? It's losing effctiveness when you guys call everyone to the left of Reagan the same thing😉


Go tell that to the millions of people who work for companies in the energy sector. I’m one of those, by the way. Eliminating fossil fuels would directly affect me. I could adjust to whatever changes are enacted, but not everyone would be so lucky. Joe just told millions of people he plans to eliminate their jobs. Do I think it would happen? Nope. But, that’s not the point. Huge gaffe. 

Edited by TeamAudra
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2 hours ago, sneaky said:

I'm sure big oil losing subsidies hurts your progressive sensibilites h?

 

Oh...wait...

 

For me ... it's about him lying. Lying, about supporting fracking (which, by the way ... that is one of the things that I personally, do not support), when clearly, he doesn't. It's about THE LYING, which you can't deny, that he did.

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I believe, this is the 3rd or 4th Peace deal, that has been signed. And .....This is Why Foreign Policy, wasn't discussed last night. We can't show the world, the great things, that he does, now can we?

 

Trump Makes History Again, Signs Peace Deal ENDING Sudan Israel War, Trump MUST WIN REELECTION

 

 

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The DNC must not be too worried because their candidate just called a "lid" on in-person events from now to election day. I guess they believe their polls.

 

Here's their schedules the past week:

 

 

 

President Trump has 8 rallies in PA, MI, WI, NE, AZ for Monday to Wednesday, while Joe Biden has no public events scheduled.

 

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Meanwhile, over the weekend, 1000s of people attended the Trump rally in Beverly Hills CA, and anti-Trump protesters attacked "Jews for Trump" rally participants in NY. 

 

Several Trump caravans took place all over the country, and here's a peaceful rally in LA:

 

 

 

 

Tens of thousands also attended the 4 Trump campaign rallies this weekend in NC, OH, WI and NH. 

Edited by season1
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18 minutes ago, season1 said:

The DNC must not be too worried because their candidate just called a "lid" on in-person events from now to election day. I guess they believe their polls.

 

Here's their schedules the past week:

 

 

 

President Trump has 8 rallies in PA, MI, WI, NE, AZ for Monday to Wednesday, while Joe Biden has no public events scheduled.

 

---

 

Meanwhile, over the weekend, 1000s of people attended the Trump rally in Beverly Hills CA, and anti-Trump protesters attacked "Jews for Trump" rally participants in NY. 

 

Several Trump caravans took place all over the country, and here's a peaceful rally in LA:

 

 

 

 

Tens of thousands also attended the 4 Trump campaign rallies this weekend in NC, OH, WI and NH. 


You know that that schedule tells me? His campaign is worried about the gaffe machine saying something stupid, and they’re worried about Pennsylvania. Let’s see what he does this week. 
 

BTW, why is Trump wasting his time campaigning in California?

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15 minutes ago, TeamAudra said:


You know that that schedule tells me? His campaign is worried about the gaffe machine saying something stupid, and they’re worried about Pennsylvania. Let’s see what he does this week. 
 

BTW, why is Trump wasting his time campaigning in California?

 

Trump event in CA was fundraising - no speech but there were a lot of supporters who showed up anyway.

 

The CA rallies in LA and BH were Trump supporters holding their own rallies and marches (been going on for weeks every weekend), no candidate, no surrogates. Also many caravans and boat rallies, especially FL.

 

NH Trump campaign rally (on Tuesday) is a surprise for me. Trump team may think NH is in play this time.

Edited by season1
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6 hours ago, season1 said:

 

Trump event in CA was fundraising - no speech but there were a lot of supporters who showed up anyway.

 

The CA rallies in LA and BH were Trump supporters holding their own rallies and marches (been going on for weeks every weekend), no candidate, no surrogates. Also many caravans and boat rallies, especially FL.

 

NH Trump campaign rally (on Tuesday) is a surprise for me. Trump team may think NH is in play this time.


New Hampshire is the most Conservative-leaning Northeast state. Republicans have eyed it for quite some time, but it's really only in play if there's a huge Trump blowout come election night. Top line polling has shown Biden with a double digit lead in NH.

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FWIW I haven't voted yet. I think Biden has just been strong enough to earn my vote given the circumstances. 

 

I'm wondering if the best thing for the future is for Biden to win. If joe wins the Democrats will take from it than they can rig and prop up the crappiest neoliberal candidate for all time and people will vote. This will lead to an even worse Trump next time

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Eight days out....here's my projection....not much has changed, polls have been nearly static for some time now.

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And just for fun, I've also mapped, in my opinion, the best case and worst case scenarios for both the Dems and Reps.

Democrat Best Case Scenario
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This scenario happens if you believe the current state-level polling is correct in places like Georgia and Texas. A lot of top level polling is showing Biden narrowly ahead in those states, though it's well within the margin of error. Whether or not I believe that Biden will actually win those states is another matter....but Texas and Georgia going blue would likely mean that nation-wide that this election is a complete blowout.

Republican Best Case Scenario
X3L6I0p.png

It's basically almost the 2016 map, plus Minnesota and New Hampshire. You could also make a good case for Virginia as well. For this to happen, pollsters will have forgotten how to conduct state-level polling, as this would represent a result well beyond the margin of error.  

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11 minutes ago, Drew said:

People are dreaming if they think TX and GA have any chance at going blue. Just because the polls are close now doesn’t mean a ton. 

While I agree that Texas and Georgia will most likely not flip, the polling numbers are not good for Trump. He won Texas in 2016 by 9%. The polls had Trump winning Texas in 2016 by, roughly, 12%. So if the polls in Texas are as wrong in 2020 as they were in 2016, Biden would win Texas by, around, 3%.

 

Again, not saying that there aren't some caveats as to why it was so close, but it's still something to think about.

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20 minutes ago, Drew said:

People are dreaming if they think TX and GA have any chance at going blue. Just because the polls are close now doesn’t mean a ton. 


People are only dreaming if they look at those numbers and come to the conclusion that GA and TX are easy Biden victories. Some aggregates who are a bit pompous and arrogant (*cough* LeanToss Up) are treating it as such.

Polling in those states is, by the very definition, a tie. I think it's more indicative of how well Biden is doing elsewhere more so than how he's doing in TX and GA. Come election night, win or lose for Biden, I suspect TX and GA will be won by Trump, though likely only by a few points. IF Biden were to win either (or both states) it would also only be by a few points, but would likely indicate that he's won other swing states + the rust belt by commanding amounts. You don't win Texas by 1 point and also win Michigan by 1 point. 

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