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The American Politics Thread!

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31 minutes ago, Hamza Tufail said:

A lot of people thought Harris could win NC, but as you know with 41%vote in, Trump is leading NC by 5 points. I think he wins this state as well as GA. His main challenge is to win PA.

 

As long as the blue wall holds we're good. 

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24 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

 

As long as the blue wall holds we're good. 

Yes. Harris will Def win Michigan. She'll also win WI. PA is the decider. She was 60-40 a while ago. Now, it's 49.5-48. Analysts are saying the gap is gonna shorten even more as the time passes.

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Just now, TeamAudra said:


That looks a little shaky at the moment. 

Liberals always say Texas is getting bluer and bluer and one day it will turn blue. But trump is winning it by almost double digits. Were you surprised, or did you expect him to do this well in TX?

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3 minutes ago, Hamza Tufail said:

Yes. Harris will Def win Michigan. She'll also win WI. PA is the decider. She was 60-40 a while ago. Now, it's 49.5-48. Analysts are saying the gap is gonna shorten even more as the time passes.o

Oh boy, it's 49-48.5 now.

 

I'm not sure if he'll win, but the meltdowns on NBC, MSNBC, and CNN will be so fun to watch if that happens.

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8 minutes ago, Hamza Tufail said:

Liberals always say Texas is getting bluer and bluer and one day it will turn blue. But trump is winning it by almost double digits. Were you surprised, or did you expect him to do this well in TX?


Texas was never in play, but it’s too soon to talk about margin of victory, because we don’t know what’s left to count. There’s still more than a 1/3 of the vote to count. 
 

Not every state has 95% of the vote counted within 10 minutes of polls closing like Florida does. I don’t understand the clown show we see in some of these states every single time. 

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21 minutes ago, Hamza Tufail said:

According to Newyork times, trump now has a 87% chance of winning. And they think he'll probably win the popular vote.

 

I knew that IA poll was bs.


Yeah, it’s over. I’m not even watching the coverage anymore. :haha:
 

I’ll be more interested in what happens with the House and Senate. I don’t like Trump, but I’d still like the Democrats to lose those races. It doesn’t guarantee anything meaningful will get done, but it helps to minimize the potential damage. 

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4 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

America is about to enter a very dark chapter.  


I’m sure Trump will figure out a way to get even for all of the indictments. I’ll bet the media is ecstatic. Trump is a ratings goldmine for them. 

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13 minutes ago, TeamAudra said:


I’m sure Trump will figure out a way to get even for all of the indictments. I’ll bet the media is ecstatic. Trump is a ratings goldmine for them. 

 

25 minutes ago, TeamAudra said:


Yeah, it’s over. I’m not even watching the coverage anymore. :haha:
 

I’ll be more interested in what happens with the House and Senate. I don’t like Trump, but I’d still like the Democrats to lose those races. It doesn’t guarantee anything meaningful will get done, but it helps to minimize the potential damage. 

I can't wait for all the meltdowns on media when he wins PA.

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I said a few pages ago that the main issue for a common man and woman is going to be economy, crime, and illegal immigration, not abortion, as the vast majority of polls suggested. 

 

Dems always seem to heavily centre their campaign around issues like abortion.

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Just now, Hamza Tufail said:

I said a few pages ago that the main issue for a common man and woman is going to be economy, crime, and illegal immigration, not abortion, as the vast majority of polls suggested. 

 

Dems always seem to heavily centre their campaign around issues like abortion.


I think the abortion issue helped them in 2022, but it’s more difficult in a presidential election year with much higher turnout. I’d almost bet my house that Democrats will make significant gains in midterms, because the next two years are going to be constant drama. Some people like that…some of us are tired…

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Trump is the only person in American history to defeat both the judicial and political systems. He pretty much already defeated the Constitution by overcoming all the boundaries set in it. Now he has full immunity. An old mentally deteriorating man. This is not going to go well I'm afraid.
 
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On 11/3/2024 at 3:19 PM, Hamza Tufail said:

Someone said that in recent history a candidate has either won all three of WI, MI, and PA, or none. I think Trump has a good chance of winning PA, but I just don't see him winning WI and MI.

 

But then again, he's Trump. You can't underestimate him. He won all three of them in 2016.

Yep, you can never underestimate Trump. 

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Next time, Democrats should consider nominating someone who can speak intelligently without a teleprompter, and articulate policy positions. She had a really difficult time answering questions about economic issues, in particular. She would usually give a canned answer about growing up in a middle class family, and end up not answering the question. These were softball questions that any candidate for office should be able to handle with ease. 

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4 minutes ago, RTV said:

 

 

 

Trump should give Barron a nice gift for his help during the campaign. He credited Barron for arranging and/or suggesting many of the podcasts he went on. I think the podcasts helped Trump gain support and votes from the young men. I saw an exit poll that Trump got 55% of the votes from young men. 

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1 hour ago, season1 said:

 

The NYT election results page has Trump winning the popular vote also by almost 4% (currently 71mil vs 66mil. RCP average had Harris ahead in NPV by 0.1%.

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html

 

 

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Usually if the pollsters under poll a candidate, they make adjustments to make up for it. A lot of analysts said that pollsters made adjustments this time knowing that Trump always outperforms the polls.

 

Despite all the adjustments made, he still outperformed the polls. Whether one likes him or hates him, they have to give him props for that.

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