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> AI Season 11 Ratings Prediction/Discussion Thread!, Ratings Discussion for those who care-merged
What kind of ratings will the premiere get?
Ratings
Less than 15 million [ 6 ] ** [9.68%]
15-17 million [ 5 ] ** [8.06%]
18-21 million [ 16 ] ** [25.81%]
22-24 million [ 14 ] ** [22.58%]
25-27 million [ 10 ] ** [16.13%]
28-30 million [ 6 ] ** [9.68%]
30 million + [ 5 ] ** [8.06%]
The most important factor: DEMO! 18-49
Below 5 [ 7 ] ** [11.29%]
5.1-6.1 [ 8 ] ** [12.90%]
6.2-7.2 [ 7 ] ** [11.29%]
7.3-8.3 [ 17 ] ** [27.42%]
8.4-9.4 [ 8 ] ** [12.90%]
9.5-10.5 [ 5 ] ** [8.06%]
10.5 + [ 10 ] ** [16.13%]
Total Votes: 124
  
druth8x
post Jan 19th 2012, 11:28 PM
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55mil for just the NFC Championship game, WOW!


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post Jan 19th 2012, 11:28 PM


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playbiller
post Jan 19th 2012, 11:50 PM
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AI11/2012 (1/18): 21.6 M<-- lowest since season 1.
AI10/2011 (1/19): 26.2 M
AI09/2010 (1/12): 29.9 M
AI08/2009 (1/13): 30.4 M
AI07/2008 (1/15): 33.4 M
AI06/2007 (1/16): 37.4 M
AI05/2006 (1/17): 35.5 M
AI04/2005 (1/18): 33.6 M
AI03/2004 (1/20): 28.6 M
AI02/2003 (1/21): 26.5 M
AI01/2002 (6/11): 09.9 M


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roare
post Jan 20th 2012, 12:42 PM
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Early ratings are indicating that The Big Bang Theory and Idol are at an exact tie in the demo rating right now, and it's possible TBBT could come out ahead of Idol in the final numbers:

http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/01/2...ge-10/#comments

This is pretty huge...when was the last time a show beat Idol? I know NCIS got close a few times with total viewers but I don't believe it ever did so in the demo rating.

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Treefroggiefreak
post Jan 20th 2012, 12:59 PM
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HOW DID THIS HAPPEN?!?! SEASON 10 WAS SO TOTALLY AMAZING AND REVITALIZED THE IDOL BRAND!!11111!1 shocked.gif shocked.gif shocked.gif shocked.gif

giggle.gif whistling.gif


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MyystikSpiral
post Jan 20th 2012, 2:23 PM
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haha.gif


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D.J.
post Jan 20th 2012, 4:14 PM
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QUOTE(Treefroggiefreak @ Jan 20th 2012, 12:59 PM) *

HOW DID THIS HAPPEN?!?! SEASON 10 WAS SO TOTALLY AMAZING AND REVITALIZED THE IDOL BRAND!!11111!1 shocked.gif shocked.gif shocked.gif shocked.gif

giggle.gif whistling.gif


haha.gif


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istersay
post Jan 20th 2012, 5:20 PM
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http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2012/01/2...dj-down/117089/


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Mgsolocup
post Jan 20th 2012, 6:47 PM
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QUOTE(Treefroggiefreak @ Jan 20th 2012, 12:59 PM) *

HOW DID THIS HAPPEN?!?! SEASON 10 WAS SO TOTALLY AMAZING AND REVITALIZED THE IDOL BRAND!!11111!1 shocked.gif shocked.gif shocked.gif shocked.gif

giggle.gif whistling.gif

rolleyes.gif ermm.gif it has nothing to do with whether Season 10 was good or not. It has EVERYTHING to do with the fact that there is an oversaturation of singing competitions, no new buzz(no new judges, etc), and the fact that it's an aging show. People are just burn out and I have heard of a lot of people who aren't tuning in until Hollywood or the live shows.

And season 10 did revitalize the brand. Scotty was the first platinum album contestant since Cook, ratings were up from season 9, 7 have been signed to a record label, and tour sales recovered after the season 9 slump.


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christucker765
post Jan 20th 2012, 6:53 PM
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Yeah. It's not Idol's fault. Its Fox's


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druth8x
post Jan 20th 2012, 6:54 PM
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18mil and 5.7 oh my lord.

This ship is sinking.

I bet TPTB are saying look we gave you no joke auditions and we lost 3mil viewers.




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Mgsolocup
post Jan 20th 2012, 6:55 PM
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How do you think the ratings will do Sunday?

1/22

Last year NFL championships got 55 million viewers-and that was earlier in the day! And just last week, The Simpsons got a 236% increase following the game. So, what do you think the ratings for idol will look like on Sunday? In cautiously optimistic!


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ziltan
post Jan 20th 2012, 7:21 PM
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Hmm, good question, if they air after the nfl games they will be ok, but to compete with "super bowl", i would fire who ever is in charge of the schedule no.gif

This post has been edited by ziltan: Jan 20th 2012, 7:23 PM


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He's a fine tuned Casey or maybe his little brother, who is he?

I was king of the world, now im dork of the night

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NatesHeadbander
post Jan 20th 2012, 7:24 PM
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I have a weird feeling most people watching football wont care for idol


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druth8x
post Jan 20th 2012, 7:26 PM
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QUOTE(ziltan @ Jan 20th 2012, 6:21 PM) *

Hmm, good question, if they air after the nfl games they will be ok, but to compete with "super bowl", i would fire who ever is in charge of the schedule no.gif

huh?

Idol gets right after NFC championship. Voice gets it's 1st premiere episode after the Superbowl.

The Superbowl is on NBC so is The Voice, so obviously, that's that.

Idol is on FOX just like NFC championship, so gain, that's that.



I say if there isn't too much post game talking and a good Idol intro, we can expect half of the NFLaudience to tune in for that 1hr if there is more than 10minutes of post game talking then I don't expect much more than 20mil, if that. Maybe even closer to 15mil.


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crash2007
post Jan 20th 2012, 7:59 PM
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I wouldn't go so far as to say that the ship is sinking. Idol (and reality television in general) is a relatively cheap genre to produce, and even when this show ages to the point that it's no longer routinely the highest rated show of the week every week, it'll probably still have several more years left in it. The ratings it pulled this week are pretty decent by the standard of mortal shows, and in comparison, Survivor, which pulls in a tiny fraction of the viewership it had at its height, was recently renewed for a 25th and 26th season.

Frankly, I'm more concerned about the quality of the show deteriorating over time, but the first two audition episodes of this season seemed promising, and hopefully the flagging ratings will encourage them to broaden their contestant pools beyond the prescribed "safe" genres of country, rock, and soul. And hopefully they WON'T encourage them to fill the audition episodes with 3 times as many joke contestants who aren't very funny.


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TwoJacks
post Jan 20th 2012, 8:11 PM
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What city is Sunday night's auditions anyway.


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druth8x
post Jan 20th 2012, 8:11 PM
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QUOTE(TwoJacks @ Jan 20th 2012, 7:11 PM) *

What city is Sunday night's auditions anyway.

San Diego and it's on a Naval Carrier.


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druth8x
post Jan 20th 2012, 8:13 PM
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Yeah, I went a tad overboard...but it is letting in water. Doesn't mean it can't fix those holes though.


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Levi
post Jan 21st 2012, 12:28 AM
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American Idol Ratings:

Season 1 Premiere: 9.85 (viewers in millions) [2002]
Season 1 Finale: 23.02 (Kelly Clarkson won)

Season 2 Premiere: 26.50 [2003]
Season 2 Finale: 38.06 (Ruben Studdard won)

Season 3 Premiere: 28.96 [2004]
Season 3 Finale: 28.84 (Fantasia Barrino won)

Season 4 Premiere: 33.58 [2005]
Season 4 Finale: 30.27 (Carrie Underwood won)

Season 5 Premiere: 35.53 [2006]
Season 5 Finale: 36.38 (Taylor Hicks won)

Season 6 Premiere: 37.44 [2007]
Season 6 Finale: 30.76 (Jordin Sparks won)

Season 7 Premiere: 33.48 [2008]
Season 7 Finale: 31.66 (David Cook won)

Season 8 Premiere: 30.45 [2009]
Season 8 Finale: 28.84 (Kris Allen won)

Season 9 Premiere: 29.95 [2010]
Season 9 Finale: 24.22 (Lee DeWyze won)

Season 10 Premiere: 26.63 [2011]
Season 10 Finale: 29.29 (Scotty McCreery won)

Season 11 Premiere: 21.93 [2012]

US X Factor ratings:

Season 1 Premiere: 12.49 [2011]
Season 1 Finale: 12.59 (Melanie Amaro won)

US The Voice ratings:

Season 1 Premiere: 11.78 [2011]
Season 1 Finale: 11.05 (Javier Colon won)


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Treefroggiefreak
post Jan 21st 2012, 12:42 AM
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While this may be the lowest premiere, it's not the lowest the show has seen. I think Season 9 saw ratings drop down to like 16 million in the middle of the finals.


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